Prediction Tracker

AI Prophecy Index

Makes big AI predictions inspectable by pairing claims with evidence and status.

ai-prophecy-index.vercel.app

Public project

ai-prophecy-index.vercel.app

Live proof

AI Prophecy Index evaluates 44 public predictions made by prominent AI forecasters Carl Shulman and Leopold Aschenbrenner, tracking outcomes across timelines from 2024 through 2030. Each prediction is scored as right, still unfolding, or too early to tell, with detailed assessments citing primary sources and confidence levels.

Audience

Readers tracking public AI forecasts

Status

Live tracker

Proof points

44 tracked claimsEvidence status model2030 horizon

Stack

Next.jsTypeScriptTailwind CSSVercel

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